zimcricketnews.com

The ICC should be back to discussing the Zimbabwe issue around now, and overnight it's become a little clearer how the votes are stacking up:

In favour of taking action against Zim: England, Australia, New Zealand
Against action being taken: Zimbabwe, West Indies, India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh

That would allow Chingoka to paint the whole matter as racially-motivated. You'll note South Africa's missing from that list - while their vote isn't relevant if the above tally is correct, there are signs that Cricket South Africa is divided on what to do on the issue, with controversial CSA President Norman Arendse taking a hardline stance, while other members of his board seem to disagree. Speaking to CricInfo, an un-named source in CSA commented:

"It's a surprise that Zimbabwe is being discussed here. It should never have been an item on the agenda. Also, where has this question over Zimbabwe's membership come from? This is ridiculous."

"We have suspended bilateral cricket with Zimbabwe, but that does not mean we have cut off all ties with Zimbabwe Cricket. Zimbabweans are still our friends and not our enemies and they understand that. By suspending ties, we mean we will take a re-look at the situation, probably after a season. But at the international level, we will honour all our commitments to Zimbabwe, as per the FTP. There is no doubt that the CSA is with Zimbabwe, but our president, on a personal level, seems to have different views."

So the general CSA view would seem to support siding with Zimbabwe here - but with Arendse holding the CSA vote, it may go to the ECB side of the argument.

It's expected there'll be an ICC press conference later in the day to announce the outcome of their deliberations. I'll have more once the details are released.
CricInfo - Consensus on Zimbabwe remains elusive